Tuesday, August 16, 2011

Not if, but When world War III Happens.

It is my firm believe, that the human race is standing on the cusp of the abyss, and have a banana peel under one foot. There is a list that everyone of us have, to outline the number of reasons, and the different ways that will bring us to the brink, but I can tell you this, is happening as we speak. Around the world the population is growing, in the areas with greatest growth ,poor. More importantly they are in poor nations that are primarily anti- American, and anti western society. Typically the major conflict comes during an extended period of economic depression, well we are in one, and will probably see it get worse when, ( not if) Europe nations start eating each other over sovereign debt. This will be the epi center of this breakdown, led by the fact that a strong economic Germany, will not take it very well when asked to carry the brunt of the fiscal irresponsibility of  neighboring countries, Germany, lets say don't appreciate to begin with.Countries like Spain, Portugal, and, Italy. Ireland has already borrowed, more then they can pay back, as has Portugal.
We really haven't covered the tip of the fiscal problems leading to civil unrest or the ability for countries to remain solvent. However, there is always more then just economies that lead to global disturbances, another is the inability for people to have access to abundant food supply. We have already seen plenty of evidence of this, Egypt, Libya, and several other north African, and Middle Eastern countries.
To not forget the third and certainly one of the most important, religion. We in the United States are under attack from Muslims, and their religion. Europe has been enduring this battle for the last 50 yrs and the latest riots in London this summer was led mostly by local Muslims. In their defense those riots happened in one of the areas of London with, can we guess, high unemployment, and poor living conditions, with expensive food , and energy costs. This is all leading to a climax were other nations are going to add to the delicate relations and frayed nerves. By encroaching on nations borders, will push friends to waiver, North and South Korea, in resent years has pushed the envelope. China launching, and building a stronger presence in their region could strain the relations with Taiwan, as well as Japan. India now growing the countries population as well as their economy will create friction with Kashmir as well as Pakistan. These are just a few of the more well known hot spots in the world, there are however 20 more for every one I mentioned.

Here is a perfect example of a minor, problem we as America will get involved in, under current world conditions, that could led to a global incident(http://news.yahoo.com/ap-somalia-famine-aid-stolen-un-investigating-143004341.html )

MOGADISHU, Somalia (AP) — Thousands of sacks of food aid meant for Somalia's famine victims have been stolen and are being sold at markets in the same neighborhoods where skeletal children in filthy refugee camps can't find enough to eat, an Associated Press investigation has found.
The U.N.'s World Food Program for the first time acknowledged it has been investigating food theft in Somalia for two months. The WFP said that the "scale and intensity" of the famine crisis does not allow for a suspension of assistance, saying that doing so would lead to "many unnecessary deaths."
And the aid is not even safe once it has been distributed to families huddled in the makeshift camps popping up around the capital. Families at the large, government-run Badbado camp, where several aid groups have been distributing food, said they were often forced to hand back aid after journalists had taken photos of them with it.
Ali Said Nur said he received two sacks of maize twice, but each time was forced to give one to the camp leader.
"You don't have a choice. You have to simply give without an argument to be able to stay here," he said.
The U.N. says more than 3.2 million Somalis — nearly half the population — need food aid after a severe drought that has been complicated by Somalia's long-running war. More than 450,000 Somalis live in famine zones controlled by al-Qaida-linked militants, where aid is difficult to deliver. The U.S. says 29,000 Somali children under the age of 5 already have died.
International officials have long expected some of the food aid pouring into Somalia to go missing. But the sheer scale of the theft taking place calls into question aid groups' ability to reach the starving. It also raises concerns about the willingness of aid agencies and the Somali government to fight corruption, and whether diverted aid is fueling Somalia's 20-year-civil war.
"While helping starving people, you are also feeding the power groups that make a business out of the disaster," said Joakim Gundel, who heads Katuni Consult, a Nairobi-based company often asked to evaluate international aid efforts in Somalia. "You're saving people's lives today so they can die tomorrow."
WFP Somalia country director Stefano Porretti said the agency's system of independent, third-party monitors uncovered allegations of possible food diversion. But he underscored how dangerous the work is: WFP has had 14 employees killed in Somalia since 2008.
"Monitoring food assistance in Somalia is a particularly dangerous process," Porretti said.
In Mogadishu markets, vast piles of food sacks are for sale with stamps on them from the World Food Program, the U.S. government aid arm USAID and the Japanese government. The AP found eight sites where aid food was being sold in bulk and numerous smaller stores. Among the items being sold were corn, grain, and Plumpy'nut — a specially fortified peanut butter designed for starving children.
An official in Mogadishu with extensive knowledge of the food trade said he believes a massive amount of aid is being stolen — perhaps up to half of aid deliveries — by unscrupulous businessmen. The percentage had been lower, he said, but in recent weeks the flood of aid into the capital with little or no controls has created a bonanza for businessmen.
The official, like the businessmen interviewed for this story, spoke on condition of anonymity to avoid reprisals.
The AP could not verify the officials claims. WFP said that it rejected the scale of diversions alleged by the official.
At one of the sites for stolen food aid, about a dozen corrugated iron sheds are stacked with sacks. Outside, women sell food from open 110-pound (50-kilogram) sacks, and traders load the food onto carts or vehicles under the indifferent eyes of local officials.
Stolen food aid is not new in Somalia — it's the main reason the U.S. military become involved in Somalia during the country's 1992 famine, an intervention that ended shortly after the military battle known as Black Hawk Down. There are no indications the military plans to get involved in this year's famine relief efforts.
WFP said in a statement that it has put into place "strengthened and rigorous" monitoring and control in Somalia.
"However, given the lack of access to much of the territory due to security dangers and restrictions, humanitarian supply lines remain highly vulnerable to looting, attack and diversion by armed groups," WFP told the AP.
Somali government spokesman Abdirahman Omar Osman said the government does not believe food aid is being stolen on a large scale but if such reports come to light, the government "will do everything in our power" to bring judicial action.
The AP investigation also found evidence that WFP is relying on a contractor blamed for diverting large amounts of food aid in a 2010 U.N. report
Eight Somali businessmen said they bought food from the contractor, Abdulqadir Mohamed Nur, who is known as Enow. His wife heads Saacid, a powerful Somali aid agency that WFP uses to distribute hot food. The official with extensive knowledge of the food trade said at some Saacid sites it appeared less than half the amount of food supplied was being prepared.
Attempts to reach Enow or his wife for comment were not successful.
 
You make you own conclusion, I however tend to lean toward WWWIII, sorry.

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